USD: The grand-standing around the fiscal cliff shows both sides retaining their entrenched positions with no signs of compromise. The dollar implications are becoming less clear as the market struggles to buy the dollar on a ‘risk-off’ strategy - at the same time that the country is heading for a fiscal car crash.
EUR: German Chancellor Merkel suggesting that in time, Greece could see some of its debts written-off. Comments reported in Bild newspaper, but caveat is it could only happen once budget is on sustainable footing
JPY: Weekly CME data showing yen shorts at highest for several years, keeping risks of further down-moves in USD/JPY as short yen positions are covered.
AUD: Retail sales data on the soft side, holding flat in October, having risen by a month average of 0.3% over the past year. AUD falling for 3rd consecutive day on the back of the release, which cemented view that RBA will cut rates on Tuesday.
GBP: House price data overnight (Hometrack) showing holding in negative territory at -0.3% YoY. Focus turning to Wednesday’s Autumn Statement from the Chancellor, in which further fiscal demands are expected to be imposed on the economy.
CNY: Various purchasing managers' data released over the weekend and today, all showing modest increases and offering further comfort to the view of a controlled soft landing in China.
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